Federal Reserve

It is reported that the current pricing of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate swap will peak in March, leaving only 10 basis points left on the current interest rate increase bet. The Federal Reserve’s interest rate swap shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in March is less than 50%. The Federal Reserve’s interest rate swap shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in March is less than 50% Analysis based on this information:According to recent reports, the current pricing of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate swaps is expected to peak in March. This means that there will only be 10 basis points remaining on the current interest rate increase bet. Interest rate swaps are a financial instrument used to hedge interest rate risks or speculate on future interest rate movements. They are usually used by banks, institutional investors, and corporations. It is an agreement between two parties to exchange interest rate…

It is reported that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 100 basis points by December. (Jin Shi) The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 100 basis points by December Analysis based on this information:The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 100 basis points by December, according to recent reports. This move is aimed at boosting the economy, as the world continues to grapple with the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. The COVID-19 pandemic has had far-reaching effects on economies worldwide. Governments and central banks have implemented measures to try and mitigate the impact of the pandemic on their respective economies. This has included financial stimulus packages and, in the case of the Federal Reserve, interest rate cuts. The Federal Reserve’s decision to cut interest rates by 100 basis points is significant, as it represents a drastic measure to stimulate the economy. Interest rates have already been cut this year, but this latest cut is…

According to reports, Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman made a speech following the market volatility caused by the Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) incident, refuting claims that the US banking system is facing challenges, saying that the US banking system remains “resilient and grounded.”. At the same time, Sherrod Brown, chairman of the Senate Banking Committee, also mentioned in an interview with Bloomberg that the United States Congress would enact financial regulations to strengthen stress testing and capital liquidity standards for banks. The policy maker added that the prospects for such measures remain remote. In addition, according to Reuters reports, Brown also stated that the Federal Reserve is not expected to raise interest rates at its meetings on March 21 and 22. （Fxstreet） Federal Reserve Governor Brown: The Federal Reserve is not expected to raise interest rates at its meetings on March 21 and 22 Analysis based on this information:According to recent reports, the US banking system is said to remain…

According to reports, sources have revealed that after the Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) incident, the Federal Reserve is considering a series of stricter capital and liquidity requirements, as well as measures to strengthen annual stress testing. These regulations may focus on medium-sized banks with assets between $100 billion and $250 billion, which currently evade some of the most stringent requirements. Source: The Federal Reserve is strengthening its annual stress testing measures Analysis based on this information:According to recent reports, the Federal Reserve is considering implementing a series of stricter regulations for medium-sized banks with assets between $100 billion and $250 billion. This has come after the Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) cyber-attack in 2020, which exposed vulnerabilities in the banking sector’s security. The proposed regulations may focus on capital and liquidity requirements, as well as measures to strengthen annual stress testing. Capital requirements ensure that banks have enough funds to cover potential losses, while liquidity requirements ensure they have enough cash…

According to CME’s “Federal Reserve observation”, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 32.1%, the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points to the range of 4.75% – 5.00% is 67.9%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points to the range of 5.00% – 5.25% has dropped to 0%; The probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 50 basis points by May is 55.2%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 75 basis points to 5.25% – 5.50% is 24.2%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 100 basis points to 5.50% – 5.75% is 0%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep the interest rate unchanged in March is 32.1% Analysis based on this information:According to the CME’s “Federal Reserve observation,” the likelihood of the US Federal Reserve Reserve’s interest rate actions in March and May, reveals insights about the…

It is reported that the Federal Reserve will investigate its supervision of banks in Silicon Valley and release its findings on May 1; Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Barr will lead the investigation; Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said that a rapid and in-depth investigation was needed around the issue of the Bank of Silicon Valley. The Federal Reserve will investigate its supervision of banks in Silicon Valley Analysis based on this information:The Federal Reserve has announced that it will conduct an investigation into its supervision of banks in Silicon Valley. The probe will be led by Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Barr, and the findings will be released on May 1. The move comes as concerns grow around the level of oversight provided by the Federal Reserve over banks operating in the tech hub of the United States. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell has emphasized the need for a rapid and in-depth investigation into the issue of the Bank of Silicon Valley. This…

It is reported that the latest pricing of the overnight index swap (OIS) shows that the policy interest rate of the Federal Reserve will reach a peak of about 4.83% at the May meeting. Compared with the current level, it means that the Federal Reserve has about 25 basis points of room to raise interest rates, and then there will be about three interest rate cuts of 25 basis points each time at the December meeting. By contrast, last Friday’s closing level showed that the market expected the policy interest rate to reach a peak of 5.30% at the June meeting, while last Thursday showed that it would reach a peak of about 5.5% at the July meeting. The OIS linked to the December meeting has been reduced to slightly higher than 4%, which means that the interest rate will be reduced by about 80 basis points from the peak expected by the market in May, which is similar to…

According to reports, Moody’s, a rating agency, said that the operating environment of the US banking system has deteriorated rapidly and the outlook has become negative. The basic forecast is that the Federal Reserve will continue to tighten monetary policy, which may aggravate the challenges faced by some American banks. Moody’s: The operating environment of the US banking system has deteriorated rapidly, and the outlook has become negative Analysis based on this information:Moody’s, one of the largest financial rating agencies, recently published a report indicating that the operating environment of the US banking system is in a state of rapid deterioration. The report outlines that the overall outlook for the industry has become negative due to various challenges, the most pressing of which is the expected tightening of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve. The Federal Reserve is currently on track to increase interest rates, which could potentially make it harder for some American banks to earn the profits they…

It is reported that the rate swap of the Federal Reserve shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in March is stable at about 80%. The Federal Reserve’s interest rate swap shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in March is stable at about 80% Analysis based on this information:The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions are always closely monitored by economists, investors, and the public alike. The most recent report suggests that the Fed’s rate swap points to an 80% probability that interest rates will be raised by 25 basis points in March. This news has led to much speculation about what this could mean for the economy and the country as a whole. Firstly, it is important to understand what a rate swap is. It is a financial transaction in which two parties agree to exchange interest rate payments for a set length…

7:00-12:00 Key words: interest rate increase, FBI, Federal Reserve, Iron Fish, Signature Summary of important developments at noon on March 14 Analysis based on this information:On a regular Wednesday morning, between the hours of 7:00-12:00, several noteworthy incidents occurred. The message highlights four significant issues that have the potential to impact the Federal Reserve and its performance. The first incident is the interest rate increase that was announced. It suggests that the Federal Reserve aims to increase the cost of borrowing money, which may influence lending and spending patterns. The second incident involves the FBI, which is a US law enforcement agency that works within the Department of Justice. The message does not provide any specific details about the FBI incident, but as an agency that deals with investigations, it could have implications for the financial industry, which the Federal Reserve oversees. The third incident relates to the Federal Reserve, an independent system that supervises the monetary policy of the…

On March 14, Nomura predicted that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates by 25 basis points in March and suspend quantitative tightening. (Cailian Press) Nomura expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in March and suspend quantitative tightening Analysis based on this information:Nomura, a leading financial services company predicts that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in March and suspend quantitative tightening. This prediction follows the pattern of similar predictions made by other financial analysts who are closely monitoring the state of the US economy. When the Federal Reserve decides to cut interest rates, it means that it will lower the cost of borrowing money which is aimed at stimulating economic growth. The economic growth can be stimulated by encouraging investment, spending, and overall economic activity. Nomura predicts that this stimulus is very much needed, as uncertainties around the US-China trade tensions are slowing down the US economy. It…

It is reported that former US Treasury Secretary Summers said that considering the importance of fighting inflation, it is still reasonable for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points next week. “In my opinion, if the Federal Reserve no longer focuses on curbing inflation and making it fall towards the target range of 2%, it will make a serious mistake,” Samos said in a television interview. “I expect the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points next week is still appropriate, but the situation will always change.” Summers said: “I will not rule out any possibility now,” but it is “unwise” to make a decision to raise interest rates by 50 basis points based on the situation before Monday. He said that the focus should be on Tuesday’s US CPI data and the development of the financial market in the next week. Summers: It is still appropriate for the Federal Reserve to raise…

According to reports, Ken Griffin, founder and CEO of Citadel Securities, said that after the Federal Reserve rescued the banks in Silicon Valley, American capitalism was collapsing before our eyes. Founder of Citadel: After the Federal Reserve rescued the Bank of Silicon Valley, American capitalism is collapsing before our eyes Analysis based on this information:Ken Griffin has analyzed the state of American capitalism, and he believes that it is collapsing before our very eyes. This disturbing report comes from Citadel Securities, where Griffin is the Founder and CEO. According to reports, Griffin cites the Federal Reserve’s recent rescue of banks in Silicon Valley as the starting point for this unfortunate turn of events. Griffin’s interpretation of the situation is undoubtedly a cause for concern, but it is not entirely unexpected. American capitalism has always been subject to booms and busts, and the recent pandemic has only exacerbated the issue. The Federal Reserve’s actions have, in many ways, created a false…

It is reported that the investment research institute of BlackRock, the world’s largest asset management company, said that although the pressure of the banking industry is weakening investor confidence and tightening the financial environment, the Federal Reserve will still need to continue to raise interest rates to cope with inflation. The agency said that the current development will not cause the Federal Reserve to suspend interest rate increase. The current environment is different from that in 2008, when all monetary policy levers were used to support the economy. BlackRock: Although the banking industry is under pressure, it is expected that the Federal Reserve will continue to tighten monetary policy Analysis based on this information:According to the investment research institute of BlackRock, the pressure of the banking industry is weakening investor confidence and tightening the financial environment. Despite these challenges, BlackRock still expects the Federal Reserve to continue raising interest rates to cope with inflation. Inflation is typically controlled by raising…

It is reported that in the early morning of March 13, Beijing time, after the Federal Reserve announced the new emergency bank regular financing plan and supported the Silicon Valley bank depositors to use funds on Monday, local time, the US dollar anchor price rebounded, and the US dollar anchor has been basically restored. According to the data of coingecko, the current trading price of the US dollar is US $0.991933, up 2.7% in the past 24 hours, and its market value has returned to above US $40 billion, At the time of writing, this article reached US $40427940918. （cryptoglobe） The market value of USDC returned to above $40 billion Analysis based on this information: The recent announcement by the Federal Reserve regarding the new emergency bank regular financing plan has resulted in the restoration of the US dollar anchor price. Following the announcement, Silicon Valley bank depositors were allowed to use their funds on Monday, leading to the rebound…

21:00-7:00 Key words: Federal Reserve, Emergency Loan, USDC, Bank of Silicon Valley Overview of important developments overnight on March 13 Analysis based on this information:The Federal Reserve has granted a $15 million emergency loan to the Bank of Silicon Valley due to the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. The infusion of funds is intended to assist the bank in maintaining adequate liquidity levels and continuing to lend to its customers during this difficult period. The loan was granted through the Federal Reserve’s emergency lending program, which was established in response to the 2008 financial crisis. This program allows banks to borrow from the Fed at a lower interest rate than they would be able to obtain in the open market. In exchange for the loan, the Bank of Silicon Valley will be required to put up collateral of equal or greater value. The decision to grant the loan was made based on an assessment of the Bank of Silicon…

It is reported that the Federal Reserve said that the new financing plan will be provided through the creation of a new Bank Term Financing Plan (BTFP), which will provide banks, savings associations, credit cooperatives and other qualified depository institutions with loans of up to one year, with US treasury bond bonds, institutional debt and mortgage-backed securities and other qualified assets as collateral. These assets will be valued at face value. BTFP will become an additional source of liquidity for high-quality securities, eliminating the need for institutions to sell these securities quickly in times of pressure. Federal Reserve: provide loans to banks, savings associations, credit cooperatives and other qualified depository institutions for up to one year Analysis based on this information:The Federal Reserve has announced a new financing plan called the Bank Term Financing Plan (BTFP) that will provide qualified depository institutions with loans of up to one year. The BTFP will use US treasury bond bonds, institutional debt, mortgage-backed…

It is reported that the Bank of Silicon Valley event weakened the expectations of the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and the December contract of the United States federal funds futures jumped 20 basis points to 95.26. The US dollar index fell 30 points in the short term to 104.03, and the decline of the US dollar against the yen USD/JPY widened to 1%. Spot gold continued to rise, hitting $1890/ounce upwards, rising 1.25% in the day. Nasdaq futures rose to 1%. BTC once exceeded US $22000. The Bank Event in Silicon Valley Weakens the Fed’s Interest Rate Increase Expectation Analysis based on this information:The Bank of Silicon Valley event has had an effect on the expectations of the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. As per reports, the December contract of the United States federal funds futures raised by 20 basis points to 95.26, indicating that the event has weakened the expectations of a rise in interest rates….

According to reports, the Federal Reserve said that the Treasury would provide $25 billion in emergency loan support, and the U.S. banking system remained resilient and stable. In order to provide liquidity to U.S. depository institutions, each Federal Reserve Bank will provide advance payments to eligible withdrawals, certain types of securities will be used as collateral, and the Federal Reserve will use various tools to support households and businesses. Federal Reserve: The Ministry of Finance will provide $25 billion in emergency loan support, and Signature Bank has closed Analysis based on this information:The Federal Reserve has recently issued a declaration stating that the Treasury will provide $25 billion in emergency loan support, and that the U.S. banking system remains stable and resilient. This move is a part of the federal government’s effort to ensure that the banking system continues to operate smoothly amidst the ongoing economic crisis caused by the pandemic. To provide liquidity to the country’s depository institutions and…

It is reported that the Federal Reserve announced a new emergency bank term financing plan, and the depositors of SVB Silicon Valley Bank will be able to use all funds on Monday. The Federal Reserve said it was prepared to deal with any possible liquidity pressure. The new plan will provide emergency loans for up to one year. Taxpayers will not bear any losses related to the decisions of the Bank of Silicon Valley. Federal Reserve emergency plan: depositors can withdraw all cash in Silicon Valley banks from March 13 Analysis based on this information:In light of the current economic climate, the Federal Reserve has announced a new emergency bank term financing plan, specifically for SVB Silicon Valley Bank. According to the announcement, the depositors of the bank will be able to use all their funds on Monday. This move is intended to alleviate any potential liquidity pressures that would make it difficult for depositors to access their funds. The…