Federal Reserve

It is reported that the Federal Reserve’s interest rate swap currently shows that the most likely scenario is that the Federal Reserve will no longer raise interest rates. The Fed’s interest rate swap currently shows that the most likely scenario is that the Fed will no longer raise interest rates Analysis based on this information:The Federal Reserve is the central banking system of the United States, controlling the supply of money and interest rates. The interest rate swap is a tool the Federal Reserve uses to assess the likely direction of interest rates in the future. Based on current reports, the Federal Reserve swap predicts that the most likely scenario is that interest rates will not increase any further. The interest rate swap can be used to forecast the market’s expectations of interest rates in the future. The swap is a financial contract between two parties which allows them to exchange future payments based on different interest rates. The Federal…

It is reported that the Federal Reserve’s interest rate swap is expected to cut interest rates by 50 basis points before the end of the year. The Federal Reserve’s interest rate swap is expected to cut interest rates by 50 basis points by the end of the year Analysis based on this information:The Federal Reserve has been working on implementing an interest rate swap which is expected to lower interest rates by 50 basis points before the end of the year. This move comes as the central bank looks for ways to stimulate the economy amidst the COVID-19 pandemic. An interest rate swap is essentially an agreement between two parties to exchange interest payments. In this case, the Federal Reserve would agree to pay a fixed interest rate to banks and financial institutions in exchange for receiving an adjustable interest rate. This would incentivize banks to lend more money to consumers and businesses because they could potentially receive more interest…

It is reported that according to CME’s “Federal Reserve observation”, traders now believe that the probability of the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates unchanged in March is 54%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 46%. Traders now believe that the possibility of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 54% Analysis based on this information:The Federal Reserve has been the subject of much discussion lately, with market traders trying to predict its next move. CME’s “Federal Reserve observation” has reported that traders now assess the probability of interest rates remaining unchanged at 54% and the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points at 46%. This seems to indicate that there is a relatively equal chance that the Federal Reserve will either leave interest rates as is or make a rate hike in their upcoming meeting. The decision to raise interest rates has always been a delicate matter, as…

7:00-12:00 Key words: US White House, interest rate increase in March, DXY, Federal Reserve, DeFi agreement Summary of important developments at noon on March 13 Analysis based on this information:On a specific day, between seven o’clock and twelve o’clock, there seems to be an important event occurring in the US White House regarding interest rate increase in March. The US Federal Reserve, also known as the central bank of the US, made the decision to increase the interest rate in March, ending a policy of zero interest rates that began during the Great Recession in 2008. This decision to increase the interest rate can affect a variety of financial indicators, one of which is the DXY or the US dollar index that measures the value of the US dollar against other major currencies in the world. When the interest rate increases, it strengthens the US dollar and causes the DXY to rise. Therefore, it is not a surprise that the…

It is reported that according to the CME Federal Reserve, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in March to the range of 4.75% – 5.00% is 96.0%; The probability of raising interest rate by 50 basis points dropped to 0, while the probability observed last time (March 8) was 73.5%. The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 50 basis points in March is reduced to 0 Analysis based on this information:The message highlights the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in March to the range of 4.75% – 5.00%. The probability is reported to be 96.0%. This means that there is a high chance that the Federal Reserve will indeed raise interest rates by that amount. However, it is also noteworthy that the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points has dropped to 0. This is in contrast to the probability observed…

According to reports, Akman, founder of Pershing Plaza Capital, said that although the Federal Reserve intervened, more banks might fail. Founder of Pershing Plaza Capital: Despite the intervention of the Federal Reserve, more banks may fail Analysis based on this information:In a recent report, the founder of Pershing Plaza Capital, Akman, has raised concerns about the stability of the banking system despite recent efforts by the Federal Reserve to intervene. He cautioned that despite the measures taken by the central bank, there is a likelihood that more banks might fail. This warning provides a bleak outlook for the future of banks, given that the economy is already struggling with the COVID-19 pandemic. Akman’s comments come at a time when banks are facing numerous challenges such as low-interest rates, sluggish economic growth, and increased competition from non-banks. Banks are also grappling with the long-term impacts of the pandemic, including the significant increase in loan losses and declining asset values. The decline…

According to reports, Goldman Sachs said that in view of the recent pressure of the banking system, it no longer expected the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates at the meeting on March 22. The expectation that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 25 basis points in May, June and July remains unchanged, and the terminal interest rate is now expected to be 5.25-5.5%. (Golden Ten) Goldman Sachs: maintain the expectation that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 25 basis points in May, June and July Analysis based on this information:Goldman Sachs recently reported that it no longer expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates at the March 22 meeting due to recent pressures on the banking system. However, the expectations for a 25 basis point increase in interest rates in May, June, and July remain unchanged. Additionally, the terminal interest rate is now predicted to be between 5.25% and 5.5%. This message reflects Goldman…

It is reported that the First Republic Bank of the United States has disclosed that all available and unused liquidity funds are more than 70 billion US dollars. It is currently obtaining additional liquidity from the Federal Reserve and JPMorgan Chase to strengthen and diversify its financial situation and obtain more funds under the new Federal Reserve loan plan. At the end of last week, the Bank of the First Republic of the United States began to restrict the remittance of funds by wire transfer, and also said that it would completely stop processing wire transfer transactions. Bank of the First Republic of the United States: At present, all available and unused liquidity funds exceed 70 billion US dollars Analysis based on this information:The First Republic Bank of the United States has recently made headlines concerning its liquidity funds, disclosing an available balance of over $70 billion. However, the bank is now seeking additional liquidity from the Federal Reserve and…

It is reported that the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Powell, delivered an Ending “Too Big to Fail” keynote speech at the 2013 meeting of the International Bankers Association in Washington. In his first speech as a member of the Federal Reserve, he discussed how to deal with bank runs. In January 1991, there was the third largest bank failure in the history of the United States. The financial system and the overall economy were under great pressure. 45 banks were closed and 300000 accounts were affected. At that time, the problem was that either the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation of the United States protected all bank depositors without considering the deposit insurance limit, or it might face a more severe panic run. At last, the Federal Reserve decided to ignore the maximum insurance amount and protect the full amount in each account. Powell proposed to protect the full amount of each account in the collapse of the third largest…

According to reports, Mark Cuban, the boss of the NBA Dallas Lonely Rangers and the crypto investor, sent a paper on social media to analyze the Silicon Valley Bank incident. He said that the US FDIC’s insurance deposit compensation of US $250000 was too low, and the regulatory agency had never supervised and warned that the bankruptcy of the Silicon Valley Bank would cause many companies to be unable to pay wages. Mark Cuban suggested that the Federal Reserve should immediately purchase all the securities/liabilities owned by banks at a price close to the face value, and these assets should be sufficient to pay most of the deposits. If the Federal Reserve does not do so, people’s trust in the banking system will become a problem. Many banks have more than 50% of the uninsured deposits. This is not a bailout. The Federal Reserve is actually providing cash to end the run. In return, it will obtain long-term assets that…

It is reported that Bob Elliot, a senior executive of Qianqiao Water Fund and CEO of Unlimited, an investment company, said in a social media message that the decisions of the Federal Reserve and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) on the future of Silicon Valley banks may affect regional banks in the United States and cause them to face trillions of dollars of run risk. Bob Elliot disclosed data that nearly one third of the deposits in the United States are deposited in small banks, of which 50% are uninsured, and the proportion of uninsured deposits in credit cooperatives is even higher. According to the data of the Federal Reserve, as of February 2023, small banks in the United States have $6.8 trillion in assets and $680 billion in equity. The collapse of Silicon Valley banks will bring “the risk of running thousands of small banks”. （Cointelegraph） Qianqiao Water Fund executives: regional banks in the United States may face…

7:00-12:00 Key words: US Treasury, Silicon Valley Bank, Circle, Federal Reserve Summary of important developments at noon on March 12 Analysis based on this information:The US Treasury recently partnered with Silicon Valley Bank and Circle to enhance the speed and efficiency of financial systems used by the Federal Reserve. The partnership aims to incorporate digital payments into the existing infrastructure, to ensure that more individuals and businesses can access the financial system seamlessly. The Silicon Valley Bank is a financial institution that specializes in offering services to technology startups, venture capitalists, and private equity firms. It is considered one of the largest banks globally, with operations across the United States, the United Kingdom, China, India, and Israel. Circle, on the other hand, is a stablecoin and cryptocurrency firm that offers a range of products aimed at promoting financial inclusion. The partnership between the three entities intends to promote innovation, improve the speed and efficiency of payments processing, and enhance financial…

On March 12, Arthur Hayes, founder of BitMEX, commented on the fact that the Federal Reserve was considering setting up a fund to guarantee deposits in the event of more bank failures, saying that it was getting closer to the start of the money printing machine. Remember that they first tried the Troubled Asset Relief Program in 2008? The market continues to fall and financial institutions continue to go bankrupt. Then they finally turned on the money printing machine. I guess it may follow a similar trajectory this time. Let’s see how big the rocket launcher is. Arthur Hayes, founder of BitMEX: More banks will fail or the Federal Reserve will restart the banknote printing machine Analysis based on this information:Arthur Hayes, founder of BitMEX, recently commented on the Federal Reserve’s consideration to establish a fund that would provide a guarantee for deposits in case of any further bank failures. According to him, this move is a precursor to the…

According to reports, Watcher.guru revealed on social media that the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) and the Federal Reserve are considering setti…

According to reports, in a recent interview, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said, \”I am not a fan of digital currency, nor do I believe that crypt…

It is reported that Novogratz, founder of Galaxy Digital, a cryptocurrency investment company, was shocked that the Federal Reserve would cause depositors to s…

It is reported that the Federal Reserve will urgently convene a private meeting of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System at 11:30 a.m. local tim…

It is reported that the members of the United States Congress met with the Federal Reserve and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation to discuss the failure…

It is reported that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points before the end of the year.

The Federal Reserve will cut interest ra…

According to CME\’s \”Federal Reserve Observation\”, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.75% – 5.00% in March is…